Qualification · Qualification 18

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

103.09 – 117.21

46%54%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

120 – 150

Prediction correct · off by 24.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 361.4 ±16.9

287Floyd Robotics

Season APEX 242.6Event APEX 90.43Rank 3Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3171HURRICANES

Season APEX 74.6Event APEX 0.02Rank 48Record 1-7-0Status establishedConfidence 86

4567The Mechanized Mafia

Provisional

Season APEX 44.2Event APEX 12.64Rank 43Record 2-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 331.4 ±16.8

2875CyberHawks

Season APEX 87Event APEX 44.99Rank 29Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 94

353POBots

Season APEX 169.7Event APEX 62.58Rank 8Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1803Vikings

Provisional

Season APEX 74.7Event APEX 9.64Rank 19Record 5-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 287, 3171, 4567

/ 100 compat

Projected

103.1 pts

~1.3 RP (regional)

Teams: 287, 3171, 4567

Auto

21.6 21%

Teleop

56.9 55%

Endgame

25.3 24%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 37%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2875, 353, 1803

/ 100 compat

Projected

117.2 pts

~1.6 RP (regional)

Teams: 2875, 353, 1803

Auto

21.2 19%

Teleop

66.1 60%

Endgame

22.6 21%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 37%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.33 · Blue 1.58

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score103.1pts

Blue projected score117.2pts

Red win probability46%

Event bonus sample174alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 37%, blue 46%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -14.1
Score range: 83–137
Upset likelihood: 46%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

High scoring

Combined score 270 vs event baseline 108.5.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

361.4Season APEX331.4

21.6Auto21.2

56.9Teleop66.1

25.3Endgame22.6

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	17	16
teleop	78	74
endgame	20	40
foul	5	20
total	120	150

Result

Final score

120 – 150

Prediction correct · off by 24.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.