Final · Finals 2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

411.49 – 227.16

91%9%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

501 – 245

Prediction correct · off by 53.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 805.9 ±11.7

9646The Marinators

Season APEX 232.4Event APEX 19.95Rank 22Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

870TEAM R. I. C. E.

Season APEX 291.3Event APEX 123.7Rank 2Record 8-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5736Kingsmen Robotics

Season APEX 282.2Event APEX 267.84Rank 1Record 9-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 535 ±13.9

8267Riptide Robotics 8267

Season APEX 224.8Event APEX 114.35Rank 15Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

287Floyd Robotics

Season APEX 242.6Event APEX 102.71Rank 3Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7673Formosan Sika

Season APEX 67.6Event APEX 10.1Rank 33Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 77

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9646, 870, 5736

/ 100 compat

Projected

411.5 pts

~2.3 RP (regional)

Teams: 9646, 870, 5736

Auto

90.9 23%

Teleop

225.1 56%

Endgame

86.0 21%

Strengths

· 5736 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 41%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8267, 287, 7673

/ 100 compat

Projected

227.2 pts

~0.6 RP (regional)

Teams: 8267, 287, 7673

Auto

34.1 16%

Teleop

118.6 57%

Endgame

55.3 27%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 41%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.34 · Blue 0.63

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score411.5pts

Blue projected score227.2pts

Red win probability91%

Event bonus sample174alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 41%, blue 39%

Supercharged bonusred 9%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 184.3
Score range: 202–436
Upset likelihood: 9%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 746 vs event baseline 137.2.

← Previous

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

805.9Season APEX535

90.9Auto34.1

225.1Teleop118.6

86Endgame55.3

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	113	77
teleop	253	125
endgame	120	38
foul	15	5
total	501	245

Result

Final score

501 – 245

Prediction correct · off by 53.7 pts

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.