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Experimental AI-assisted analytics, predictions and ratings are estimates, not official results.
FRCinsights
FIRST Long Island Regional

Final · Finals 1

APEX prediction
Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

401.22 – 215.97

91%9%
Actual result
Winner

Red alliance

Final score

475 – 292

Prediction correct · off by 74.9 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 805.9 ±11.7
9646The Marinators
A
Season APEX 232.4Event APEX 16.63Rank 22Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97
870TEAM R. I. C. E.
A
Season APEX 291.3Event APEX 119.91Rank 2Record 8-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
5736Kingsmen Robotics
A
Season APEX 282.2Event APEX 264.68Rank 1Record 9-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 535 ±13.9
8267Riptide Robotics 8267
B
Season APEX 224.8Event APEX 111.12Rank 15Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
287Floyd Robotics
A
Season APEX 242.6Event APEX 99.47Rank 3Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
7673Formosan Sika
D
Season APEX 67.6Event APEX 5.38Rank 33Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 77

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9646, 870, 5736
82
/ 100 compat
Projected
401.2 pts
~2.4 RP (regional)
Teams: 9646, 870, 5736
Auto
88.7 23%
Teleop
219.9 56%
Endgame
81.7 21%
Strengths
  • · 5736 anchors offense
  • · Well-balanced across phases
  • · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 41%
Supercharged: 9%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 8267, 287, 7673
81
/ 100 compat
Projected
216 pts
~0.6 RP (regional)
Teams: 8267, 287, 7673
Auto
32.2 16%
Teleop
109.7 55%
Endgame
55.8 28%
Strengths
  • · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 41%
Supercharged: 9%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.35 · Blue 0.62
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setRegional
Red projected score401.2pts
Blue projected score216pts
Red win probability91%
Event bonus sample174alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 41%, blue 39%
Supercharged bonusred 9%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
  • Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
  • Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
  • Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin
185.3
Score range
192–425
Upset likelihood
9%
Data cutoff
2026-08-16
Model
apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring
Playoff

Combined score 767 vs event baseline 134.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

805.9Season APEX535
88.7Auto32.2
219.9Teleop109.7
81.7Endgame55.8
0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

PhaseRedBlue
auto10545
teleop257170
endgame11352
foul025
total475292

Result

Final score

475 – 292

Prediction correct · off by 74.9 pts

Match videos

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