Playoff · Playoff Match 7 R2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

357.65 – 240.11

81%19%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

318 – 245

Prediction correct · off by 22.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 546.2 ±11.2

1165Team Paradise

Season APEX 57Event APEX 15.07Rank 33Record 4-5-1Status establishedConfidence 97

987HIGHROLLERS

Season APEX 204.2Event APEX 136.83Rank 3Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7426PAIR OF DICE ROBOTICS

Season APEX 285Event APEX 205.75Rank 1Record 10-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 399.7 ±12.8

6479AZTECH Robotics

Season APEX 110.2Event APEX 72.36Rank 21Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

991BroncoBots

Season APEX 97.2Event APEX 75.23Rank 6Record 7-2-1Status establishedConfidence 97

3990Tech for Kids

Season APEX 192.3Event APEX 92.52Rank 12Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1165, 987, 7426

/ 100 compat

Projected

357.7 pts

~2.3 RP (regional)

Teams: 1165, 987, 7426

Auto

58.6 16%

Teleop

201.0 56%

Endgame

96.2 27%

Strengths

· 7426 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6479, 991, 3990

/ 100 compat

Projected

240.1 pts

~1.0 RP (regional)

Teams: 6479, 991, 3990

Auto

47.6 20%

Teleop

138.2 59%

Endgame

48.3 21%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.26 · Blue 1.04

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score357.7pts

Blue projected score240.1pts

Red win probability81%

Event bonus sample180alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 54%, blue 61%

Supercharged bonusred 7%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 117.5
Score range: 208–390
Upset likelihood: 19%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 563 vs event baseline 177.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

546.2Season APEX399.7

58.6Auto47.6

201Teleop138.2

96.2Endgame48.3

7Consistency16

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	74	70
teleop	158	100
endgame	66	75
foul	20	0
total	318	245

Result

Final score

318 – 245

Prediction correct · off by 22.3 pts

Match videos

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