Playoff · Playoff Match 5 R2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

181.72 – 241.22

32%68%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

233 – 399

Prediction correct · off by 104.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 445.6 ±12.9

3009High Scalers

Season APEX 66.8Event APEX 60.95Rank 14Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 92

10903The Ionizers

Season APEX 189.9Event APEX 67.83Rank 19Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8229Balikbayan Bots

Season APEX 188.9Event APEX 52.94Rank 27Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 552.3 ±11.1

4253Raid Zero

Season APEX 170.6Event APEX 33.37Rank 35Record 4-5-1Status establishedConfidence 100

3882Lunas

Season APEX 157.9Event APEX 121.23Rank 8Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4270Crusaders

Season APEX 223.8Event APEX 86.62Rank 16Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3009, 10903, 8229

/ 100 compat

Projected

181.7 pts

~1.3 RP (regional)

Teams: 3009, 10903, 8229

Auto

46.9 26%

Teleop

99.3 56%

Endgame

31.2 18%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 60%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4253, 3882, 4270

/ 100 compat

Projected

241.2 pts

~1.9 RP (regional)

Teams: 4253, 3882, 4270

Auto

40.3 17%

Teleop

145.8 62%

Endgame

48.1 21%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 60%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.29 · Blue 1.92

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score181.7pts

Blue projected score241.2pts

Red win probability32%

Event bonus sample180alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 60%, blue 50%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -59.5
Score range: 151–272
Upset likelihood: 32%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 632 vs event baseline 173.8.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

445.6Season APEX552.3

46.9Auto40.3

99.3Teleop145.8

31.2Endgame48.1

38Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	56	62
teleop	108	276
endgame	54	61
foul	15	0
total	233	399

Result

Final score

233 – 399

Prediction correct · off by 104.5 pts

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.