Playoff · Playoff Match 1 R1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

335.74 – 177.73

88%12%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

455 – 212

Prediction correct · off by 76.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 546.2 ±11.2

1165Team Paradise

Season APEX 57Event APEX 8.18Rank 33Record 4-5-1Status establishedConfidence 97

987HIGHROLLERS

Season APEX 204.2Event APEX 129.38Rank 3Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7426PAIR OF DICE ROBOTICS

Season APEX 285Event APEX 198.18Rank 1Record 10-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 445.6 ±12.9

3009High Scalers

Season APEX 66.8Event APEX 60.86Rank 14Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 92

10903The Ionizers

Season APEX 189.9Event APEX 67.96Rank 19Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8229Balikbayan Bots

Season APEX 188.9Event APEX 48.91Rank 27Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1165, 987, 7426

/ 100 compat

Projected

335.7 pts

~2.4 RP (regional)

Teams: 1165, 987, 7426

Auto

60.5 18%

Teleop

192.1 58%

Endgame

81.3 24%

Strengths

· 7426 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3009, 10903, 8229

/ 100 compat

Projected

177.7 pts

~0.9 RP (regional)

Teams: 3009, 10903, 8229

Auto

38.5 22%

Teleop

102.1 59%

Endgame

31.8 18%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.39 · Blue 0.89

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score335.7pts

Blue projected score177.7pts

Red win probability88%

Event bonus sample180alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 54%, blue 60%

Supercharged bonusred 7%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 158
Score range: 148–366
Upset likelihood: 12%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 667 vs event baseline 167.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

546.2Season APEX445.6

60.5Auto38.5

192.1Teleop102.1

81.3Endgame31.8

20Consistency36

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	58	77
teleop	247	99
endgame	150	36
foul	0	0
total	455	212

Result

Final score

455 – 212

Prediction correct · off by 76.8 pts

Match videos

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