Qualification · Qualification 74
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
258.22 – 71.11
91%9%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
127 – 77
Prediction correct · off by 68.6 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 351.7 ±15.6
Season APEX 204.2Event APEX 140.2Rank 3Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
9151RoboLynx
Provisional
Season APEX 50.3Event APEX 34.5Rank 40Record 3-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 73
Season APEX 97.2Event APEX 83.52Rank 6Record 7-2-1Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 214.2 ±15
Season APEX 97.9Event APEX 42.27Rank 26Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 89
Season APEX 59.3Event APEX 19.08Rank 37Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 89
Season APEX 57Event APEX 9.76Rank 33Record 4-5-1Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 987, 9151, 991
81
/ 100 compatProjected
258.2 pts
~2.5 RP (regional)
Teams: 987, 9151, 991
Auto
42.2 17%
Teleop
130.8 54%
Endgame
69.9 29%
Strengths
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 59%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 8717, 9534, 1165
37
/ 100 compatProjected
71.1 pts
~0.8 RP (regional)
Teams: 8717, 9534, 1165
Auto
13.6 21%
Teleop
28.1 44%
Endgame
22.6 35%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 59%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.46 · Blue 0.76
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setRegional
Red projected score258.2pts
Blue projected score71.1pts
Red win probability91%
Event bonus sample180alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 59%, blue 53%
Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 187.1
- Score range
- 41–288
- Upset likelihood
- 9%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-16
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
351.7Season APEX214.2
42.2Auto13.6
130.8Teleop28.1
69.9Endgame22.6
8Consistency12
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 33 | 15 |
| teleop | 89 | 40 |
| endgame | 5 | 22 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 127 | 77 |
Result
Final score
127 – 77
Prediction correct · off by 68.6 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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