Qualification · Qualification 73

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

92.09 – 224.23

16%84%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

129 – 290

Prediction correct · off by 51.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 352.6 ±14.1

8338Bear Force

Season APEX 72.6Event APEX 22.68Rank 29Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 91

60Kingman FIRST Robotics Team 60 (The Bionic Bulldogs)

Season APEX 87.7Event APEX -12.09Rank 44Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 91

3990Tech for Kids

Season APEX 192.3Event APEX 81.5Rank 12Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 528.3 ±11.9

9037HHS Black Ops

Season APEX 82.7Event APEX -3.61Rank 17Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 91

4270Crusaders

Season APEX 223.8Event APEX 87.06Rank 16Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4421FORGE Robotics

Season APEX 221.8Event APEX 140.78Rank 2Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8338, 60, 3990

/ 100 compat

Projected

92.1 pts

~0.9 RP (regional)

Teams: 8338, 60, 3990

Auto

42.7 45%

Teleop

40.3 42%

Endgame

12.1 13%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9037, 4270, 4421

/ 100 compat

Projected

224.2 pts

~2.3 RP (regional)

Teams: 9037, 4270, 4421

Auto

47.5 21%

Teleop

133.8 58%

Endgame

47.6 21%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.93 · Blue 2.32

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score92.1pts

Blue projected score224.2pts

Red win probability16%

Event bonus sample180alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 57%, blue 57%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 5%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -132.1
Score range: 62–254
Upset likelihood: 16%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 419 vs event baseline 167.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

352.6Season APEX528.3

42.7Auto47.5

40.3Teleop133.8

12.1Endgame47.6

101Consistency17

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	21	71
teleop	60	185
endgame	48	34
foul	0	0
total	129	290

Result

Final score

129 – 290

Prediction correct · off by 51.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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