Qualification · Qualification 72

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

90.83 – 276.82

9%91%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

120 – 418

Prediction correct · off by 85.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 231.5 ±17

7425Green Valley Robotics

Season APEX 119.9Event APEX 88.71Rank 10Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 95

9002Falcon Dynamics - Foothill High School

Provisional

Season APEX 41.6Event APEX -4.51Rank 41Record 2-8-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

10905Team LOVE

Season APEX 70Event APEX 6.63Rank 25Record 4-5-1Status establishedConfidence 89

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 511.3 ±14.8

7426PAIR OF DICE ROBOTICS

Season APEX 285Event APEX 186.47Rank 1Record 10-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9426CLAWBOTICS

Provisional

Season APEX 92.5Event APEX 16Rank 36Record 3-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

2438'Iobotics

Season APEX 133.8Event APEX 74.35Rank 11Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7425, 9002, 10905

/ 100 compat

Projected

90.8 pts

~0.9 RP (regional)

Teams: 7425, 9002, 10905

Auto

16.9 17%

Teleop

61.8 63%

Endgame

18.7 19%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 65%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7426, 9426, 2438

/ 100 compat

Projected

276.8 pts

~2.6 RP (regional)

Teams: 7426, 9426, 2438

Auto

41.3 15%

Teleop

146.4 55%

Endgame

79.8 30%

Strengths

· 7426 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 65%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.87 · Blue 2.58

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score90.8pts

Blue projected score276.8pts

Red win probability9%

Event bonus sample180alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 65%, blue 62%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 13%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -186
Score range: 61–307
Upset likelihood: 9%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 538 vs event baseline 165.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

231.5Season APEX511.3

16.9Auto41.3

61.8Teleop146.4

18.7Endgame79.8

49Consistency12

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	21	62
teleop	67	249
endgame	17	107
foul	15	0
total	120	418

Result

Final score

120 – 418

Prediction correct · off by 85.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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