Qualification · Qualification 7

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

73.29 – 73.29

50%50%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

52 – 352

Prediction missed · off by 150 points

Limited current-season data (6 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 310.6 ±16

4253Raid Zero

Season APEX 170.6Event APEX -Rank 35Record 4-5-1Status establishedConfidence 100

9151RoboLynx

Provisional

Season APEX 50.3Event APEX -Rank 40Record 3-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

10183ARC

Season APEX 89.7Event APEX -Rank 39Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 390.3 ±15.1

3009High Scalers

Season APEX 66.8Event APEX -Rank 14Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 92

2375Dragon Robotics

Season APEX 99.7Event APEX -Rank 20Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 76

4270Crusaders

Season APEX 223.8Event APEX -Rank 16Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4253, 9151, 10183

/ 100 compat

Projected

73.3 pts

~1.4 RP (regional)

Teams: 4253, 9151, 10183

Auto

22.0 30%

Teleop

36.6 50%

Endgame

14.7 20%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 34%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3009, 2375, 4270

/ 100 compat

Projected

73.3 pts

~1.6 RP (regional)

Teams: 3009, 2375, 4270

Auto

22.0 30%

Teleop

36.6 50%

Endgame

14.7 20%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 34%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.38 · Blue 1.62

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score73.3pts

Blue projected score73.3pts

Red win probability50%

Event bonus sample180alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 34%, blue 55%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 5%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 0
Score range: 47–99
Upset likelihood: 50%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 404 vs event baseline 146.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

310.6Season APEX390.3

-Auto-

-Teleop-

-Endgame-

-Consistency-

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	15	49
teleop	33	240
endgame	4	63
foul	0	0
total	52	352

Result

Final score

52 – 352

Prediction missed · off by 150 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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