Qualification · Qualification 68

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

188.18 – 49.12

85%15%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

448 – 48

Prediction correct · off by 130.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 505.2 ±14.3

5049Minerbots

Provisional

Season APEX 77.2Event APEX 10.32Rank 30Record 4-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

987HIGHROLLERS

Season APEX 204.2Event APEX 114.96Rank 3Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4270Crusaders

Season APEX 223.8Event APEX 62.9Rank 16Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 147.3 ±20.8

988Steel Phoenix

Provisional

Season APEX 24.1Event APEX -12.45Rank 45Record 2-8-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

6824LVA Robot Pigeons

Provisional

Season APEX 79.3Event APEX 48.83Rank 18Record 5-4-1Status provisionalConfidence 73

1726N.E.R.D.S. (Nifty Engineering Robotics Design Squad)

Provisional

Season APEX 43.9Event APEX 12.74Rank 38Record 3-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5049, 987, 4270

/ 100 compat

Projected

188.2 pts

~2.4 RP (regional)

Teams: 5049, 987, 4270

Auto

31.2 16%

Teleop

108.7 57%

Endgame

50.1 26%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 60%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 988, 6824, 1726

/ 100 compat

Projected

49.1 pts

~0.9 RP (regional)

Teams: 988, 6824, 1726

Auto

8.6 14%

Teleop

32.8 53%

Endgame

20.0 33%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 60%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.39 · Blue 0.87

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score188.2pts

Blue projected score49.1pts

Red win probability85%

Event bonus sample180alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 60%, blue 52%

Supercharged bonusred 7%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 139.1
Score range: 20–217
Upset likelihood: 15%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 496 vs event baseline 163.1.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

505.2Season APEX147.3

31.2Auto8.6

108.7Teleop32.8

50.1Endgame20

36Consistency78

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	70	25
teleop	281	3
endgame	87	20
foul	10	0
total	448	48

Result

Final score

448 – 48

Prediction correct · off by 130.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.