Qualification · Qualification 65

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

162.23 – 149.43

54%46%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

113 – 175

Prediction missed · off by 37.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 236.3 ±15

3009High Scalers

Season APEX 66.8Event APEX 69.7Rank 14Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 92

6479AZTECH Robotics

Season APEX 110.2Event APEX 65.4Rank 21Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9534Wolves Robotics (Basic HS)

Season APEX 59.3Event APEX 27.13Rank 37Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 89

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 331 ±18

10186feenx

Provisional

Season APEX 55.7Event APEX 34.98Rank 42Record 2-8-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

7654Robot In Shed

Provisional

Season APEX 83Event APEX 25.26Rank 34Record 4-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

3990Tech for Kids

Season APEX 192.3Event APEX 89.19Rank 12Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3009, 6479, 9534

/ 100 compat

Projected

162.2 pts

~1.7 RP (regional)

Teams: 3009, 6479, 9534

Auto

33.1 22%

Teleop

76.6 50%

Endgame

42.1 28%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10186, 7654, 3990

/ 100 compat

Projected

149.4 pts

~1.5 RP (regional)

Teams: 10186, 7654, 3990

Auto

32.9 22%

Teleop

80.9 54%

Endgame

35.2 24%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.68 · Blue 1.52

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score162.2pts

Blue projected score149.4pts

Red win probability54%

Event bonus sample180alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 55%, blue 56%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 12.8
Score range: 120–191
Upset likelihood: 46%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 288 vs event baseline 163.6.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

236.3Season APEX331

33.1Auto32.9

76.6Teleop80.9

42.1Endgame35.2

0Consistency2

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	23	38
teleop	68	100
endgame	22	37
foul	0	0
total	113	175

Result

Final score

113 – 175

Prediction missed · off by 37.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.