Qualification · Qualification 59

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

89.82 – 308.31

6%94%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

94 – 332

Prediction correct · off by 13.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 222.4 ±16.5

9059COLTech Robotics

Season APEX 61.9Event APEX 6.57Rank 31Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 94

6479AZTECH Robotics

Season APEX 110.2Event APEX 63.08Rank 21Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9151RoboLynx

Provisional

Season APEX 50.3Event APEX 20.17Rank 40Record 3-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 554.4 ±11

3990Tech for Kids

Season APEX 192.3Event APEX 87.17Rank 12Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

987HIGHROLLERS

Season APEX 204.2Event APEX 115.61Rank 3Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3882Lunas

Season APEX 157.9Event APEX 105.53Rank 8Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9059, 6479, 9151

/ 100 compat

Projected

89.8 pts

~0.6 RP (regional)

Teams: 9059, 6479, 9151

Auto

31.6 42%

Teleop

20.6 28%

Endgame

22.3 30%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 43%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3990, 987, 3882

/ 100 compat

Projected

308.3 pts

~2.6 RP (regional)

Teams: 3990, 987, 3882

Auto

67.2 22%

Teleop

158.0 52%

Endgame

76.4 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 43%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.6 · Blue 2.58

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score89.8pts

Blue projected score308.3pts

Red win probability6%

Event bonus sample180alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 43%, blue 64%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -218.5
Score range: 61–337
Upset likelihood: 6%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 426 vs event baseline 162.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

222.4Season APEX554.4

31.6Auto67.2

20.6Teleop158

22.3Endgame76.4

4Consistency39

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	31	75
teleop	44	210
endgame	19	47
foul	0	0
total	94	332

Result

Final score

94 – 332

Prediction correct · off by 13.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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