Qualification · Qualification 58

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

0 – 88.33

23%77%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

69 – 86

Prediction correct · off by 35.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 202.6 ±17.5

10905Team LOVE

Season APEX 70Event APEX 13.61Rank 25Record 4-5-1Status establishedConfidence 89

60Kingman FIRST Robotics Team 60 (The Bionic Bulldogs)

Season APEX 87.7Event APEX -29.6Rank 44Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 91

1011CRUSH

Provisional

Season APEX 44.9Event APEX 8.16Rank 43Record 2-8-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 174.9 ±17

11235Golden Ratio

Provisional

Season APEX 51.1Event APEX 0.3Rank 32Record 5-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

1165Team Paradise

Season APEX 57Event APEX 15.35Rank 33Record 4-5-1Status establishedConfidence 97

3009High Scalers

Season APEX 66.8Event APEX 72.68Rank 14Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 92

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10905, 60, 1011

/ 100 compat

Projected

-7.8 pts

~1.0 RP (regional)

Teams: 10905, 60, 1011

Auto

12.3 0%

Teleop

-4.4 100%

Endgame

-11.6 100%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 47%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 11235, 1165, 3009

/ 100 compat

Projected

88.3 pts

~2.0 RP (regional)

Teams: 11235, 1165, 3009

Auto

30.6 33%

Teleop

40.2 43%

Endgame

21.7 23%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 47%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.97 · Blue 2.04

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score-7.8pts

Blue projected score88.3pts

Red win probability23%

Event bonus sample180alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 47%, blue 46%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -88.3
Score range: -30–118
Upset likelihood: 23%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 155 vs event baseline 164.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

202.6Season APEX174.9

12.3Auto30.6

-4.4Teleop40.2

-11.6Endgame21.7

100Consistency33

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	15	14
teleop	39	47
endgame	15	25
foul	0	0
total	69	86

Result

Final score

69 – 86

Prediction correct · off by 35.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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