Qualification · Qualification 57

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

226.47 – 136.92

75%25%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

264 – 131

Prediction correct · off by 21.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 477.7 ±12.2

5851Striking Vikings

Season APEX 79.1Event APEX 51.36Rank 15Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7425Green Valley Robotics

Season APEX 119.9Event APEX 89.14Rank 10Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 95

7183W.A.R.

Season APEX 278.7Event APEX 85.97Rank 13Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 323.9 ±18

6824LVA Robot Pigeons

Provisional

Season APEX 79.3Event APEX 54.62Rank 18Record 5-4-1Status provisionalConfidence 73

10186feenx

Provisional

Season APEX 55.7Event APEX 40.05Rank 42Record 2-8-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

8229Balikbayan Bots

Season APEX 188.9Event APEX 42.25Rank 27Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5851, 7425, 7183

/ 100 compat

Projected

226.5 pts

~2.1 RP (regional)

Teams: 5851, 7425, 7183

Auto

41.9 19%

Teleop

115.2 53%

Endgame

62.2 28%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6824, 10186, 8229

/ 100 compat

Projected

136.9 pts

~1.2 RP (regional)

Teams: 6824, 10186, 8229

Auto

21.6 16%

Teleop

78.8 60%

Endgame

30.8 23%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.1 · Blue 1.16

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score226.5pts

Blue projected score136.9pts

Red win probability75%

Event bonus sample180alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 55%, blue 62%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 89.6
Score range: 108–255
Upset likelihood: 25%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 395 vs event baseline 163.6.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

477.7Season APEX323.9

41.9Auto21.6

115.2Teleop78.8

62.2Endgame30.8

26Consistency64

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	57	23
teleop	159	75
endgame	48	28
foul	0	5
total	264	131

Result

Final score

264 – 131

Prediction correct · off by 21.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.