Qualification · Qualification 55
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
73.27 – 175.83
22%78%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
187 – 126
Prediction missed · off by 81.8 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 269.6 ±14.5
Season APEX 89.7Event APEX 6.64Rank 39Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 97.2Event APEX 70.94Rank 6Record 7-2-1Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 82.7Event APEX -4.31Rank 17Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 91
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 337.7 ±17.7
3577Saint's Robotics
Provisional
Season APEX 81.2Event APEX 27.75Rank 23Record 5-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 73
9002Falcon Dynamics - Foothill High School
Provisional
Season APEX 41.6Event APEX 6.14Rank 41Record 2-8-0Status provisionalConfidence 73
Season APEX 214.9Event APEX 141.94Rank 5Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 10183, 991, 9037
43
/ 100 compatProjected
73.3 pts
~1.0 RP (regional)
Teams: 10183, 991, 9037
Auto
15.2 22%
Teleop
36.9 53%
Endgame
17.7 25%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 48%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 3577, 9002, 8005
68
/ 100 compatProjected
175.8 pts
~2.2 RP (regional)
Teams: 3577, 9002, 8005
Auto
47.2 29%
Teleop
74.4 45%
Endgame
43.1 26%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 48%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.96 · Blue 2.23
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setRegional
Red projected score73.3pts
Blue projected score175.8pts
Red win probability22%
Event bonus sample180alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 48%, blue 62%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -102.6
- Score range
- 43–206
- Upset likelihood
- 22%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
269.6Season APEX337.7
15.2Auto47.2
36.9Teleop74.4
17.7Endgame43.1
48Consistency50
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 35 | 35 |
| teleop | 127 | 86 |
| endgame | 25 | 5 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 187 | 126 |
Result
Final score
187 – 126
Prediction missed · off by 81.8 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
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