Qualification · Qualification 52

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

30.37 – 176.28

14%86%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

126 – 261

Prediction correct · off by 90.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 278.5 ±15.6

9233Luminous Robotics Team

Season APEX 65.5Event APEX 17.69Rank 24Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8229Balikbayan Bots

Season APEX 188.9Event APEX 28.76Rank 27Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

988Steel Phoenix

Provisional

Season APEX 24.1Event APEX -16.08Rank 45Record 2-8-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 381.8 ±15.6

6479AZTECH Robotics

Season APEX 110.2Event APEX 56.28Rank 21Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6824LVA Robot Pigeons

Provisional

Season APEX 79.3Event APEX 37.44Rank 18Record 5-4-1Status provisionalConfidence 73

3990Tech for Kids

Season APEX 192.3Event APEX 82.56Rank 12Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9233, 8229, 988

/ 100 compat

Projected

30.4 pts

~0.8 RP (regional)

Teams: 9233, 8229, 988

Auto

10.5 42%

Teleop

13.5 54%

Endgame

1.1 4%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6479, 6824, 3990

/ 100 compat

Projected

176.3 pts

~2.4 RP (regional)

Teams: 6479, 6824, 3990

Auto

39.4 22%

Teleop

94.1 52%

Endgame

46.2 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.84 · Blue 2.39

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score30.4pts

Blue projected score176.3pts

Red win probability14%

Event bonus sample180alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 52%, blue 62%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -145.9
Score range: 1–205
Upset likelihood: 14%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 387 vs event baseline 160.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

278.5Season APEX381.8

10.5Auto39.4

13.5Teleop94.1

1.1Endgame46.2

124Consistency68

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	27	41
teleop	72	156
endgame	27	64
foul	0	0
total	126	261

Result

Final score

126 – 261

Prediction correct · off by 90.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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