Qualification · Qualification 48

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

215.8 – 305.62

25%75%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

307 – 175

Prediction missed · off by 110.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 330.7 ±15.1

9406TechJunior

Season APEX 155.3Event APEX 150.89Rank 7Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2438'Iobotics

Season APEX 133.8Event APEX 75.48Rank 11Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9002Falcon Dynamics - Foothill High School

Provisional

Season APEX 41.6Event APEX -10.57Rank 41Record 2-8-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 368.9 ±14.1

8717Cyber Vipers

Season APEX 97.9Event APEX 71.21Rank 26Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 89

3009High Scalers

Season APEX 66.8Event APEX 100.74Rank 14Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 92

987HIGHROLLERS

Season APEX 204.2Event APEX 133.67Rank 3Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9406, 2438, 9002

/ 100 compat

Projected

215.8 pts

~1.2 RP (regional)

Teams: 9406, 2438, 9002

Auto

39.8 19%

Teleop

121.1 57%

Endgame

51.1 24%

Strengths

· 9406 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 67%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8717, 3009, 987

/ 100 compat

Projected

305.6 pts

~2.2 RP (regional)

Teams: 8717, 3009, 987

Auto

48.9 16%

Teleop

174.8 57%

Endgame

82.9 27%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 67%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.21 · Blue 2.2

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score215.8pts

Blue projected score305.6pts

Red win probability25%

Event bonus sample180alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 67%, blue 63%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 5%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -89.8
Score range: 187–335
Upset likelihood: 25%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

High scoring

Combined score 482 vs event baseline 160.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

330.7Season APEX368.9

39.8Auto48.9

121.1Teleop174.8

51.1Endgame82.9

69Consistency24

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	66	46
teleop	211	72
endgame	30	42
foul	0	15
total	307	175

Result

Final score

307 – 175

Prediction missed · off by 110.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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