Qualification · Qualification 36

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

123.24 – 0

88%12%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

83 – 62

Prediction correct · off by 51.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 258.6 ±18.4

988Steel Phoenix

Provisional

Season APEX 24.1Event APEX -10.72Rank 45Record 2-8-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

10903The Ionizers

Season APEX 189.9Event APEX 58.34Rank 19Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9018ElRobotiKO

Provisional

Season APEX 44.6Event APEX 75.62Rank 28Record 4-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 194.8 ±17

60Kingman FIRST Robotics Team 60 (The Bionic Bulldogs)

Season APEX 87.7Event APEX -49.21Rank 44Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 91

9002Falcon Dynamics - Foothill High School

Provisional

Season APEX 41.6Event APEX -17.36Rank 41Record 2-8-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

9233Luminous Robotics Team

Season APEX 65.5Event APEX 25.91Rank 24Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 988, 10903, 9018

/ 100 compat

Projected

123.2 pts

~2.4 RP (regional)

Teams: 988, 10903, 9018

Auto

33.0 27%

Teleop

68.1 55%

Endgame

22.3 18%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 60, 9002, 9233

/ 100 compat

Projected

-40.7 pts

~0.8 RP (regional)

Teams: 60, 9002, 9233

Auto

15.7 0%

Teleop

-21.5 69%

Endgame

-25.3 81%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.36 · Blue 0.78

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score123.2pts

Blue projected score-40.7pts

Red win probability88%

Event bonus sample180alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 52%, blue 51%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 123.2
Score range: -29–152
Upset likelihood: 12%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 145 vs event baseline 163.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

258.6Season APEX194.8

33Auto15.7

68.1Teleop-21.5

22.3Endgame-25.3

41Consistency155

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	28	17
teleop	48	44
endgame	7	1
foul	0	0
total	83	62

Result

Final score

83 – 62

Prediction correct · off by 51.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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