Qualification · Qualification 33

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

214.37 – 160.15

66%34%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

74 – 179

Prediction missed · off by 79.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 253 ±17

1011CRUSH

Provisional

Season APEX 44.9Event APEX 31.86Rank 43Record 2-8-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

6479AZTECH Robotics

Season APEX 110.2Event APEX 69.63Rank 21Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8717Cyber Vipers

Season APEX 97.9Event APEX 112.88Rank 26Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 89

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 452.4 ±18

3577Saint's Robotics

Provisional

Season APEX 81.2Event APEX 23.14Rank 23Record 5-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

7183W.A.R.

Season APEX 278.7Event APEX 90.42Rank 13Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9426CLAWBOTICS

Provisional

Season APEX 92.5Event APEX 46.59Rank 36Record 3-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1011, 6479, 8717

/ 100 compat

Projected

214.4 pts

~1.9 RP (regional)

Teams: 1011, 6479, 8717

Auto

23.6 11%

Teleop

142.6 67%

Endgame

46.2 22%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3577, 7183, 9426

/ 100 compat

Projected

160.2 pts

~1.3 RP (regional)

Teams: 3577, 7183, 9426

Auto

28.7 18%

Teleop

61.9 40%

Endgame

65.6 42%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.89 · Blue 1.3

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score214.4pts

Blue projected score160.2pts

Red win probability66%

Event bonus sample180alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 49%, blue 57%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 54.2
Score range: 132–242
Upset likelihood: 34%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 253 vs event baseline 157.5.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

253Season APEX452.4

23.6Auto28.7

142.6Teleop61.9

46.2Endgame65.6

0Consistency103

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	20	33
teleop	39	63
endgame	15	33
foul	0	50
total	74	179

Result

Final score

74 – 179

Prediction missed · off by 79.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.