Qualification · Qualification 32

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

302.85 – 187.03

81%19%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

307 – 237

Prediction correct · off by 27.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 423.8 ±14.9

987HIGHROLLERS

Season APEX 204.2Event APEX 133.63Rank 3Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2375Dragon Robotics

Season APEX 99.7Event APEX 90.4Rank 20Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 76

7425Green Valley Robotics

Season APEX 119.9Event APEX 78.82Rank 10Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 95

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 422.6 ±15.6

5049Minerbots

Provisional

Season APEX 77.2Event APEX 13.84Rank 30Record 4-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

3990Tech for Kids

Season APEX 192.3Event APEX 87.25Rank 12Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8503Raid One

Season APEX 153.1Event APEX 85.94Rank 4Record 7-2-1Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 987, 2375, 7425

/ 100 compat

Projected

302.9 pts

~2.3 RP (regional)

Teams: 987, 2375, 7425

Auto

55.9 18%

Teleop

158.2 52%

Endgame

92.1 30%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 60%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5049, 3990, 8503

/ 100 compat

Projected

187 pts

~1.1 RP (regional)

Teams: 5049, 3990, 8503

Auto

32.3 18%

Teleop

95.0 52%

Endgame

55.6 30%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 60%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.28 · Blue 1.09

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score302.9pts

Blue projected score187pts

Red win probability81%

Event bonus sample180alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 60%, blue 64%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 5%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 115.8
Score range: 159–331
Upset likelihood: 19%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 544 vs event baseline 153.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

423.8Season APEX422.6

55.9Auto32.3

158.2Teleop95

92.1Endgame55.6

28Consistency97

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	50	78
teleop	188	123
endgame	69	36
foul	0	0
total	307	237

Result

Final score

307 – 237

Prediction correct · off by 27.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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