Qualification · Qualification 24

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

220.4 – 220.72

50%50%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

325 – 361

Prediction correct · off by 122.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 509 ±14.7

7654Robot In Shed

Provisional

Season APEX 83Event APEX 39.29Rank 34Record 4-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

987HIGHROLLERS

Season APEX 204.2Event APEX 88.58Rank 3Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4421FORGE Robotics

Season APEX 221.8Event APEX 92.53Rank 2Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 521 ±14.3

9018ElRobotiKO

Provisional

Season APEX 44.6Event APEX 25.95Rank 28Record 4-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

7426PAIR OF DICE ROBOTICS

Season APEX 285Event APEX 100.93Rank 1Record 10-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6413Degrees of Freedom

Season APEX 191.4Event APEX 93.84Rank 9Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7654, 987, 4421

/ 100 compat

Projected

220.4 pts

~1.6 RP (regional)

Teams: 7654, 987, 4421

Auto

37.6 17%

Teleop

109.7 50%

Endgame

70.8 32%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9018, 7426, 6413

/ 100 compat

Projected

220.7 pts

~1.8 RP (regional)

Teams: 9018, 7426, 6413

Auto

43.6 20%

Teleop

110.9 52%

Endgame

59.8 28%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.64 · Blue 1.77

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score220.4pts

Blue projected score220.7pts

Red win probability50%

Event bonus sample180alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 57%, blue 63%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 12%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -0.3
Score range: 192–249
Upset likelihood: 50%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 686 vs event baseline 154.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

509Season APEX521

37.6Auto43.6

109.7Teleop110.9

70.8Endgame59.8

113Consistency108

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	50	65
teleop	155	205
endgame	120	91
foul	0	0
total	325	361

Result

Final score

325 – 361

Prediction correct · off by 122.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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