Qualification · Qualification 23

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

124.98 – 157.01

40%60%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

139 – 121

Prediction missed · off by 25 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 388.1 ±15.6

9233Luminous Robotics Team

Season APEX 65.5Event APEX 24.54Rank 24Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1726N.E.R.D.S. (Nifty Engineering Robotics Design Squad)

Provisional

Season APEX 43.9Event APEX 4.15Rank 38Record 3-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

7183W.A.R.

Season APEX 278.7Event APEX 96.29Rank 13Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 300.5 ±14.5

3882Lunas

Season APEX 157.9Event APEX 88.78Rank 8Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8338Bear Force

Season APEX 72.6Event APEX 45.63Rank 29Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 91

10905Team LOVE

Season APEX 70Event APEX 22.6Rank 25Record 4-5-1Status establishedConfidence 89

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9233, 1726, 7183

/ 100 compat

Projected

125 pts

~1.4 RP (regional)

Teams: 9233, 1726, 7183

Auto

36.8 30%

Teleop

56.5 46%

Endgame

29.4 24%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3882, 8338, 10905

/ 100 compat

Projected

157 pts

~1.9 RP (regional)

Teams: 3882, 8338, 10905

Auto

31.8 20%

Teleop

101.3 64%

Endgame

26.2 16%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.4 · Blue 1.94

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score125pts

Blue projected score157pts

Red win probability40%

Event bonus sample180alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 55%, blue 69%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -32
Score range: 97–185
Upset likelihood: 40%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 260 vs event baseline 155.2.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

388.1Season APEX300.5

36.8Auto31.8

56.5Teleop101.3

29.4Endgame26.2

11Consistency140

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	17	22
teleop	102	89
endgame	20	10
foul	0	0
total	139	121

Result

Final score

139 – 121

Prediction missed · off by 25 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.