Qualification · Qualification 20

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

112.84 – 144.06

40%60%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

119 – 101

Prediction missed · off by 24.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 260.2 ±20.2

2375Dragon Robotics

Season APEX 99.7Event APEX 102.1Rank 20Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 76

3577Saint's Robotics

Provisional

Season APEX 81.2Event APEX -2.59Rank 23Record 5-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

6824LVA Robot Pigeons

Provisional

Season APEX 79.3Event APEX 13.33Rank 18Record 5-4-1Status provisionalConfidence 73

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 195.2 ±19.2

9002Falcon Dynamics - Foothill High School

Provisional

Season APEX 41.6Event APEX -8.26Rank 41Record 2-8-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

8717Cyber Vipers

Season APEX 97.9Event APEX 126.33Rank 26Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 89

10186feenx

Provisional

Season APEX 55.7Event APEX 25.99Rank 42Record 2-8-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2375, 3577, 6824

/ 100 compat

Projected

112.8 pts

~1.5 RP (regional)

Teams: 2375, 3577, 6824

Auto

11.9 12%

Teleop

68.7 69%

Endgame

18.3 19%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 63%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9002, 8717, 10186

/ 100 compat

Projected

144.1 pts

~1.8 RP (regional)

Teams: 9002, 8717, 10186

Auto

32.2 23%

Teleop

71.1 50%

Endgame

38.0 27%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 63%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.49 · Blue 1.83

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score112.8pts

Blue projected score144.1pts

Red win probability40%

Event bonus sample180alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 63%, blue 59%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -31.2
Score range: 84–173
Upset likelihood: 40%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 220 vs event baseline 161.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

260.2Season APEX195.2

11.9Auto32.2

68.7Teleop71.1

18.3Endgame38

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	14	15
teleop	70	58
endgame	35	28
foul	0	0
total	119	101

Result

Final score

119 – 101

Prediction missed · off by 24.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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