Qualification · Qualification 19

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

303.67 – 60.61

95%5%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

154 – 45

Prediction correct · off by 82.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 434.5 ±13.7

7426PAIR OF DICE ROBOTICS

Season APEX 285Event APEX 133.14Rank 1Record 10-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3009High Scalers

Season APEX 66.8Event APEX 130.65Rank 14Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 92

9037HHS Black Ops

Season APEX 82.7Event APEX 39.88Rank 17Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 91

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 153.5 ±18.4

9151RoboLynx

Provisional

Season APEX 50.3Event APEX 23.03Rank 40Record 3-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

5851Striking Vikings

Season APEX 79.1Event APEX 41.75Rank 15Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

988Steel Phoenix

Provisional

Season APEX 24.1Event APEX -4.17Rank 45Record 2-8-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7426, 3009, 9037

/ 100 compat

Projected

303.7 pts

~2.6 RP (regional)

Teams: 7426, 3009, 9037

Auto

64.0 21%

Teleop

200.6 66%

Endgame

41.5 14%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 60%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9151, 5851, 988

/ 100 compat

Projected

60.6 pts

~0.6 RP (regional)

Teams: 9151, 5851, 988

Auto

19.6 34%

Teleop

15.9 27%

Endgame

22.4 39%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 60%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.58 · Blue 0.57

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score303.7pts

Blue projected score60.6pts

Red win probability95%

Event bonus sample180alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 60%, blue 43%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 243.1
Score range: 31–334
Upset likelihood: 5%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 199 vs event baseline 164.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

434.5Season APEX153.5

64Auto19.6

200.6Teleop15.9

41.5Endgame22.4

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	51	12
teleop	71	22
endgame	32	11
foul	0	0
total	154	45

Result

Final score

154 – 45

Prediction correct · off by 82.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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