Qualification · Qualification 18

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

99.01 – 180.9

27%73%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

51 – 355

Prediction correct · off by 111.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 189.3 ±17

1165Team Paradise

Season APEX 57Event APEX 59.28Rank 33Record 4-5-1Status establishedConfidence 97

60Kingman FIRST Robotics Team 60 (The Bionic Bulldogs)

Season APEX 87.7Event APEX -7.06Rank 44Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 91

9018ElRobotiKO

Provisional

Season APEX 44.6Event APEX 46.79Rank 28Record 4-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 334.5 ±13.5

7425Green Valley Robotics

Season APEX 119.9Event APEX 46.19Rank 10Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 95

9406TechJunior

Season APEX 155.3Event APEX 110.48Rank 7Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9534Wolves Robotics (Basic HS)

Season APEX 59.3Event APEX 24.23Rank 37Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 89

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1165, 60, 9018

/ 100 compat

Projected

99 pts

~1.0 RP (regional)

Teams: 1165, 60, 9018

Auto

38.1 39%

Teleop

28.2 29%

Endgame

31.4 32%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7425, 9406, 9534

/ 100 compat

Projected

180.9 pts

~2.2 RP (regional)

Teams: 7425, 9406, 9534

Auto

46.3 27%

Teleop

90.3 52%

Endgame

37.8 22%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.04 · Blue 2.16

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score99pts

Blue projected score180.9pts

Red win probability27%

Event bonus sample180alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 46%, blue 65%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -81.9
Score range: 70–210
Upset likelihood: 27%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 406 vs event baseline 162.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

189.3Season APEX334.5

38.1Auto46.3

28.2Teleop90.3

31.4Endgame37.8

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	22	61
teleop	29	197
endgame	0	97
foul	0	0
total	51	355

Result

Final score

51 – 355

Prediction correct · off by 111.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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