Qualification · Qualification 13

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

90.49 – 204.3

20%80%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

102 – 313

Prediction correct · off by 60.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 183.2 ±19.2

9534Wolves Robotics (Basic HS)

Season APEX 59.3Event APEX 29.84Rank 37Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 89

9018ElRobotiKO

Provisional

Season APEX 44.6Event APEX 21.31Rank 28Record 4-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

6824LVA Robot Pigeons

Provisional

Season APEX 79.3Event APEX 39.34Rank 18Record 5-4-1Status provisionalConfidence 73

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 272.4 ±16.2

3009High Scalers

Season APEX 66.8Event APEX 109.57Rank 14Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 92

9151RoboLynx

Provisional

Season APEX 50.3Event APEX 23.85Rank 40Record 3-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

9406TechJunior

Season APEX 155.3Event APEX 70.88Rank 7Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9534, 9018, 6824

/ 100 compat

Projected

90.5 pts

~1.1 RP (regional)

Teams: 9534, 9018, 6824

Auto

16.0 17%

Teleop

61.5 66%

Endgame

16.2 17%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 66%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3009, 9151, 9406

/ 100 compat

Projected

204.3 pts

~2.2 RP (regional)

Teams: 3009, 9151, 9406

Auto

35.4 17%

Teleop

132.2 65%

Endgame

35.3 17%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 66%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.1 · Blue 2.22

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score90.5pts

Blue projected score204.3pts

Red win probability20%

Event bonus sample180alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 66%, blue 57%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -113.8
Score range: 62–232
Upset likelihood: 20%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 415 vs event baseline 153.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

183.2Season APEX272.4

16Auto35.4

61.5Teleop132.2

16.2Endgame35.3

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	3	63
teleop	64	188
endgame	35	62
foul	0	0
total	102	313

Result

Final score

102 – 313

Prediction correct · off by 60.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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