Final · Finals 2
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
350.3 – 272.93
72%28%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
380 – 204
Prediction correct · off by 49.3 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 546.2 ±11.2
Season APEX 57Event APEX 11.99Rank 33Record 4-5-1Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 285Event APEX 204.59Rank 1Record 10-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 204.2Event APEX 133.72Rank 3Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 526.4 ±11.2
Season APEX 89.7Event APEX 15.86Rank 39Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 221.8Event APEX 136.36Rank 2Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 214.9Event APEX 120.71Rank 5Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 1165, 7426, 987
82
/ 100 compatProjected
350.3 pts
~2.1 RP (regional)
Teams: 1165, 7426, 987
Auto
67.3 19%
Teleop
183.6 53%
Endgame
95.4 28%
Strengths
- · 7426 anchors offense
- · Well-balanced across phases
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 54%
Supercharged: 7%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 10183, 4421, 8005
82
/ 100 compatProjected
272.9 pts
~1.1 RP (regional)
Teams: 10183, 4421, 8005
Auto
55.3 21%
Teleop
151.9 56%
Endgame
61.9 23%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 54%
Supercharged: 7%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.08 · Blue 1.07
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setRegional
Red projected score350.3pts
Blue projected score272.9pts
Red win probability72%
Event bonus sample180alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 54%, blue 45%
Supercharged bonusred 7%, blue 5%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 77.4
- Score range
- 240–383
- Upset likelihood
- 28%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
546.2Season APEX526.4
67.3Auto55.3
183.6Teleop151.9
95.4Endgame61.9
19Consistency26
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 69 | 30 |
| teleop | 246 | 159 |
| endgame | 65 | 15 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 380 | 204 |
Result
Final score
380 – 204
Prediction correct · off by 49.3 pts
Match videos
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