Final · Finals 1
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
346.6 – 287.02
68%32%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
372 – 171
Prediction correct · off by 70.7 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 546.2 ±11.2
Season APEX 57Event APEX 10.77Rank 33Record 4-5-1Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 285Event APEX 203.41Rank 1Record 10-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 204.2Event APEX 132.42Rank 3Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 526.4 ±11.2
Season APEX 89.7Event APEX 20.79Rank 39Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 221.8Event APEX 141.04Rank 2Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 214.9Event APEX 125.19Rank 5Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 1165, 7426, 987
82
/ 100 compatProjected
346.6 pts
~2.0 RP (regional)
Teams: 1165, 7426, 987
Auto
64.7 19%
Teleop
187.5 55%
Endgame
89.8 26%
Strengths
- · 7426 anchors offense
- · Well-balanced across phases
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 54%
Supercharged: 7%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 10183, 4421, 8005
83
/ 100 compatProjected
287 pts
~1.2 RP (regional)
Teams: 10183, 4421, 8005
Auto
58.8 21%
Teleop
157.9 56%
Endgame
66.6 24%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 54%
Supercharged: 7%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.99 · Blue 1.16
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setRegional
Red projected score346.6pts
Blue projected score287pts
Red win probability68%
Event bonus sample180alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 54%, blue 45%
Supercharged bonusred 7%, blue 5%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 59.6
- Score range
- 254–380
- Upset likelihood
- 32%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
546.2Season APEX526.4
64.7Auto58.8
187.5Teleop157.9
89.8Endgame66.6
16Consistency25
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 83 | 30 |
| teleop | 160 | 108 |
| endgame | 129 | 28 |
| foul | 0 | 5 |
| total | 372 | 171 |
Result
Final score
372 – 171
Prediction correct · off by 70.7 pts
Match videos
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