Playoff · Playoff Match 6 R2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

26.08 – 27.84

47%53%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

1 – 0

Prediction missed · off by 26.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 0 ±69.3

9985Offseason demo team

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX -6.04Rank -Record -Status preseasonConfidence 0

9984Offseason demo team

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX -6.04Rank -Record -Status preseasonConfidence 0

9990Offseason demo team

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 15.11Rank 7Record 11-9-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 0 ±69.3

9983Offseason demo team

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX -6.95Rank -Record -Status preseasonConfidence 0

9982Offseason demo team

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX -6.95Rank -Record -Status preseasonConfidence 0

9991Offseason demo team

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 17.37Rank 9Record 9-11-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9985, 9984, 9990

/ 100 compat

Projected

3 pts

~1.1 RP (offseason)

Teams: 9985, 9984, 9990

Auto

1.1 31%

Teleop

1.5 42%

Endgame

1.0 28%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 10%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9983, 9982, 9991

/ 100 compat

Projected

3.5 pts

~1.1 RP (offseason)

Teams: 9983, 9982, 9991

Auto

1.1 25%

Teleop

2.1 48%

Endgame

1.2 27%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 10%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.14 · Blue 1.13

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score3pts

Blue projected score3.5pts

Red win probability50%

Event bonus sample70alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 10%, blue 8%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -1.8
Score range: 20–34
Upset likelihood: 47%
Data cutoff: 2026-09-03
Model: apex-0.5.1

Match context

Close match

Playoff

Combined score 1 vs event baseline 31.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

0Season APEX0

1.1Auto1.1

1.5Teleop2.1

1Endgame1.2

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	1	0
teleop	0	0
endgame	0	0
foul	0	0
total	1	0

Result

Final score

1 – 0

Prediction missed · off by 26.5 pts