Playoff · Playoff Match 3 R1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

6.15 – 53.27

6%94%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

2 – 0

Prediction missed · off by 28.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 64.7 ±41.4

9999Offseason demo team

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX -11.32Rank 8Record 3-3-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

1164Project NEO

Season APEX 42.9Event APEX 17.95Rank 3Record 5-1-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7271Hangar 84

Season APEX 21.8Event APEX -8.95Rank 13Record 2-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 0 ±69.3

9985Offseason demo team

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX -Rank -Record -Status preseasonConfidence 0

9984Offseason demo team

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX -Rank -Record -Status preseasonConfidence 0

9990Offseason demo team

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 34.32Rank 7Record 11-9-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9999, 1164, 7271

/ 100 compat

Projected

-2.3 pts

~0.8 RP (offseason)

Teams: 9999, 1164, 7271

Auto

2.6 0%

Teleop

-4.9 100%

Endgame

-0.6 21%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 8%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9985, 9984, 9990

/ 100 compat

Projected

45.3 pts

~1.4 RP (offseason)

Teams: 9985, 9984, 9990

Auto

11.5 26%

Teleop

21.3 49%

Endgame

11.1 25%

Strengths

· 9990 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 8%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 0.84 · Blue 1.43

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score-2.3pts

Blue projected score45.3pts

Red win probability36%

Event bonus sample70alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 8%, blue 10%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -47.1
Score range: 0–59
Upset likelihood: 6%
Data cutoff: 2026-09-04
Model: apex-0.5.1

Match context

Close match

Playoff

Combined score 2 vs event baseline 32.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

64.7Season APEX0

2.6Auto8.2

-4.9Teleop15.9

-0.6Endgame8.9

47Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	1	0
teleop	1	0
endgame	0	0
foul	0	0
total	2	0

Result

Final score

2 – 0

Prediction missed · off by 28.7 pts