Playoff · Playoff Match 2 R1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

0 – 35.46

11%89%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

1 – 0

Prediction missed · off by 18.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 41.2 ±42.1

9998Offseason demo team

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX -8.62Rank 12Record 2-4-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

6974Zia Robotics

Season APEX 28.7Event APEX 1.28Rank 6Record 4-2-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8512Manzano Monarchs

Season APEX 12.5Event APEX -9.62Rank 15Record 0-6-0Status establishedConfidence 76

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 0 ±69.3

9981Offseason demo team

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX -Rank -Record -Status preseasonConfidence 0

9980Offseason demo team

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX -Rank -Record -Status preseasonConfidence 0

9989Offseason demo team

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX -Rank -Record -Status preseasonConfidence 0

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9998, 6974, 8512

/ 100 compat

Projected

-17 pts

~0.9 RP (offseason)

Teams: 9998, 6974, 8512

Auto

3.0 0%

Teleop

-12.0 74%

Endgame

-7.2 44%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 5%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9981, 9980, 9989

/ 100 compat

Projected

17.2 pts

~1.3 RP (offseason)

Teams: 9981, 9980, 9989

Auto

5.2 30%

Teleop

8.6 50%

Endgame

3.4 20%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 5%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 0.88 · Blue 1.33

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score-17pts

Blue projected score17.2pts

Red win probability40%

Event bonus sample70alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 5%, blue 8%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -35.5
Score range: -6–41
Upset likelihood: 11%
Data cutoff: 2026-09-04
Model: apex-0.5.1

Match context

Close match

Playoff

Combined score 1 vs event baseline 34.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

41.2Season APEX0

3Auto-

-12Teleop-

-7.2Endgame-

87Consistency-

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	1	0
teleop	0	0
endgame	0	0
foul	0	0
total	1	0

Result

Final score

1 – 0

Prediction missed · off by 18.2 pts