Playoff · Playoff Match 6 R2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

66.77 – 53.17

54%46%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

85 – 43

Prediction correct · off by 14.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 250.2 ±11

10995ACS Eagle Robotics

Season APEX 33.1Event APEX 12.82Rank 30Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8706MXS Bulldog Bots

Season APEX 157.7Event APEX 31.09Rank 22Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9015Questionable Engineering

Season APEX 59.4Event APEX 22.86Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 156.7 ±11.6

1811FRESH

Season APEX 38.6Event APEX 1.94Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4361Roxbotix

Season APEX 41.5Event APEX 4.81Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

219Team Impact

Season APEX 76.6Event APEX 46.42Rank 16Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10995, 8706, 9015

/ 100 compat

Projected

66.8 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 10995, 8706, 9015

Auto

20.0 31%

Teleop

30.9 48%

Endgame

12.9 20%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 23%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1811, 4361, 219

/ 100 compat

Projected

53.2 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 1811, 4361, 219

Auto

6.5 13%

Teleop

28.1 57%

Endgame

15.1 30%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 23%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.35 · Blue 1.25

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score66.8pts

Blue projected score53.2pts

Red win probability54%

Event bonus sample150alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 23%, blue 29%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 13.6
Score range: 32–88
Upset likelihood: 46%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Playoff

Standard match.

Combined score 128 vs event baseline 114.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

250.2Season APEX156.7

20Auto6.5

30.9Teleop28.1

12.9Endgame15.1

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	15	3
teleop	53	31
endgame	17	9
foul	0	0
total	85	43

Result

Final score

85 – 43

Prediction correct · off by 14.2 pts