Playoff · Playoff Match 13 R5

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

209.33 – 160.32

65%35%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

96 – 108

Prediction missed · off by 82.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 534.9 ±9.3

1279Cold Fusion

Season APEX 49.2Event APEX 28.45Rank 26Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5895Peddie Robotics

Season APEX 264.5Event APEX 128.22Rank 3Record 9-2-1Status establishedConfidence 100

1676The Pascack PI-oneers

Season APEX 221.2Event APEX 52.66Rank 10Record 6-5-1Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 625.4 ±9.3

555Montclair Robotics

Season APEX 118.5Event APEX 21.78Rank 21Record 4-7-1Status establishedConfidence 100

3637The Daleks

Season APEX 241.5Event APEX 67.67Rank 4Record 9-2-1Status establishedConfidence 100

11MORT

Season APEX 265.4Event APEX 70.87Rank 9Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1279, 5895, 1676

/ 100 compat

Projected

209.3 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 1279, 5895, 1676

Auto

39.0 19%

Teleop

123.4 59%

Endgame

48.2 23%

Strengths

· 5895 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 42%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 555, 3637, 11

/ 100 compat

Projected

160.3 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 555, 3637, 11

Auto

24.4 16%

Teleop

96.8 64%

Endgame

31.0 20%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 42%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.76 · Blue 1.11

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score209.3pts

Blue projected score160.3pts

Red win probability65%

Event bonus sample150alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 42%, blue 36%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 49
Score range: 139–230
Upset likelihood: 35%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Playoff

Standard match.

Combined score 204 vs event baseline 118.5.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

534.9Season APEX625.4

39Auto24.4

123.4Teleop96.8

48.2Endgame31

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	28	15
teleop	52	63
endgame	1	20
foul	15	10
total	96	108

Result

Final score

96 – 108

Prediction missed · off by 82.8 pts