Playoff · Playoff Match 10 R3

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

153.23 – 76.63

72%28%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

165 – 43

Prediction correct · off by 22.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 625.4 ±9.3

555Montclair Robotics

Season APEX 118.5Event APEX 19.7Rank 21Record 4-7-1Status establishedConfidence 100

3637The Daleks

Season APEX 241.5Event APEX 64.27Rank 4Record 9-2-1Status establishedConfidence 100

11MORT

Season APEX 265.4Event APEX 69.26Rank 9Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 309.6 ±11

223Xtreme Heat

Season APEX 99.2Event APEX 18.12Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5992Pirates

Season APEX 59.6Event APEX 31.36Rank 17Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4285Camo-Bots

Season APEX 150.8Event APEX 27.15Rank 13Record 5-6-1Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 555, 3637, 11

/ 100 compat

Projected

153.2 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 555, 3637, 11

Auto

22.6 15%

Teleop

93.9 64%

Endgame

30.8 21%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 36%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 223, 5992, 4285

/ 100 compat

Projected

76.6 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 223, 5992, 4285

Auto

13.6 18%

Teleop

40.2 53%

Endgame

21.9 29%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 36%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.85 · Blue 0.96

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score153.2pts

Blue projected score76.6pts

Red win probability72%

Event bonus sample150alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 36%, blue 36%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 76.6
Score range: 56–174
Upset likelihood: 28%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Playoff

Standard match.

Combined score 208 vs event baseline 116.6.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

625.4Season APEX309.6

22.6Auto13.6

93.9Teleop40.2

30.8Endgame21.9

0Consistency42

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	25	10
teleop	97	6
endgame	13	27
foul	30	0
total	165	43

Result

Final score

165 – 43

Prediction correct · off by 22.7 pts

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.