Qualification · Qualification 9
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
0 – 65.52
29%71%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
74 – 279
Prediction correct · off by 143.7 points
Limited current-season data (8 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 301.9 ±11
Season APEX 106.8Event APEX -5.79Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 118.5Event APEX 3.47Rank 21Record 4-7-1Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 76.6Event APEX -5.79Rank 16Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 471.8 ±9.8
Season APEX 329.3Event APEX 49.04Rank 2Record 11-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 59.4Event APEX 13.01Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 83.1Event APEX 3.47Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 222, 555, 219
8
/ 100 compatProjected
-8.1 pts
~0.9 RP (district)
Teams: 222, 555, 219
Auto
-11.0 100%
Teleop
-3.8 45%
Endgame
6.4 0%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 28%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 316, 9015, 41
50
/ 100 compatProjected
65.5 pts
~1.8 RP (district)
Teams: 316, 9015, 41
Auto
0.8 1%
Teleop
37.4 57%
Endgame
27.2 42%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 28%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.89 · Blue 1.79
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score-8.1pts
Blue projected score65.5pts
Red win probability29%
Event bonus sample150alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 28%, blue 32%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -65.5
- Score range
- -16–82
- Upset likelihood
- 29%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
301.9Season APEX471.8
-11Auto0.8
-3.8Teleop37.4
6.4Endgame27.2
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 0 | 34 |
| teleop | 62 | 167 |
| endgame | 12 | 58 |
| foul | 0 | 20 |
| total | 74 | 279 |
Result
Final score
74 – 279
Prediction correct · off by 143.7 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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