Qualification · Qualification 60

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

62.29 – 93.45

40%60%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

35 – 136

Prediction correct · off by 34.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 162 ±12.2

8117Easton RoboRovers

Season APEX 75.5Event APEX 29.98Rank 28Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

752Chargers

Season APEX 26.9Event APEX -3.72Rank 29Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5992Pirates

Season APEX 59.6Event APEX 36.03Rank 17Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 400.1 ±9.8

9015Questionable Engineering

Season APEX 59.4Event APEX 18.63Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3637The Daleks

Season APEX 241.5Event APEX 64.12Rank 4Record 9-2-1Status establishedConfidence 100

223Xtreme Heat

Season APEX 99.2Event APEX 10.7Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8117, 752, 5992

/ 100 compat

Projected

62.3 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 8117, 752, 5992

Auto

6.9 12%

Teleop

31.3 56%

Endgame

17.9 32%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 28%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9015, 3637, 223

/ 100 compat

Projected

93.5 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 9015, 3637, 223

Auto

18.6 21%

Teleop

52.5 58%

Endgame

19.4 21%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 28%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.13 · Blue 1.56

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score62.3pts

Blue projected score93.5pts

Red win probability40%

Event bonus sample150alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 28%, blue 33%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -31.2
Score range: 42–113
Upset likelihood: 40%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 171 vs event baseline 113.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

162Season APEX400.1

6.9Auto18.6

31.3Teleop52.5

17.9Endgame19.4

19Consistency32

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	14	18
teleop	6	83
endgame	15	20
foul	0	15
total	35	136

Result

Final score

35 – 136

Prediction correct · off by 34.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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