Qualification · Qualification 57

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

229.78 – 116.21

80%20%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

320 – 118

Prediction correct · off by 46 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 556.7 ±9.8

1672Robo T-Birds

Season APEX 77.1Event APEX 3.24Rank 18Record 5-6-1Status establishedConfidence 100

193MORT Beta

Season APEX 150.3Event APEX 32.22Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

316LUNATECS

A+

Season APEX 329.3Event APEX 194.32Rank 2Record 11-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 369.8 ±11.1

11MORT

Season APEX 265.4Event APEX 69.78Rank 9Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6945Children of the Corn

Season APEX 27.8Event APEX 1.99Rank 25Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

219Team Impact

Season APEX 76.6Event APEX 44.44Rank 16Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1672, 193, 316

/ 100 compat

Projected

229.8 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 1672, 193, 316

Auto

46.2 21%

Teleop

125.0 56%

Endgame

53.4 24%

Strengths

· 316 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 37%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 11, 6945, 219

/ 100 compat

Projected

116.2 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 11, 6945, 219

Auto

21.1 19%

Teleop

61.8 56%

Endgame

27.1 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 37%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.02 · Blue 0.79

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score229.8pts

Blue projected score116.2pts

Red win probability80%

Event bonus sample150alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 37%, blue 36%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 113.6
Score range: 96–250
Upset likelihood: 20%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 438 vs event baseline 112.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

556.7Season APEX369.8

46.2Auto21.1

125Teleop61.8

53.4Endgame27.1

64Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	65	6
teleop	146	65
endgame	109	47
foul	0	0
total	320	118

Result

Final score

320 – 118

Prediction correct · off by 46 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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