Qualification · Qualification 55

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

79.33 – 42.48

61%39%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

61 – 109

Prediction missed · off by 42.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 285.7 ±10.4

8117Easton RoboRovers

Season APEX 75.5Event APEX 31.53Rank 28Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4285Camo-Bots

Season APEX 150.8Event APEX 22.22Rank 13Record 5-6-1Status establishedConfidence 100

9015Questionable Engineering

Season APEX 59.4Event APEX 25.58Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 291.4 ±11.7

752Chargers

Season APEX 26.9Event APEX -6.02Rank 29Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

222Tigertrons

Season APEX 106.8Event APEX 19.79Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8706MXS Bulldog Bots

Season APEX 157.7Event APEX 28.71Rank 22Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8117, 4285, 9015

/ 100 compat

Projected

79.3 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 8117, 4285, 9015

Auto

17.7 23%

Teleop

49.4 65%

Endgame

9.3 12%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 29%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 752, 222, 8706

/ 100 compat

Projected

42.5 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 752, 222, 8706

Auto

5.6 17%

Teleop

17.3 53%

Endgame

9.9 30%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 29%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.56 · Blue 1.09

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score79.3pts

Blue projected score42.5pts

Red win probability61%

Event bonus sample150alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 29%, blue 27%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 36.9
Score range: 22–99
Upset likelihood: 39%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 170 vs event baseline 110.7.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

285.7Season APEX291.4

17.7Auto5.6

49.4Teleop17.3

9.3Endgame9.9

0Consistency19

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	21	6
teleop	33	60
endgame	7	38
foul	0	5
total	61	109

Result

Final score

61 – 109

Prediction missed · off by 42.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree