Qualification · Qualification 54
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
72.01 – 74.05
49%51%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
94 – 45
Prediction missed · off by 25.5 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 354.8 ±10.5
Season APEX 99.2Event APEX 13.15Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 34.4Event APEX 0.86Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 221.2Event APEX 58Rank 10Record 6-5-1Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 184.2 ±11.6
Season APEX 41.5Event APEX 7.86Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 59.6Event APEX 43.89Rank 17Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 83.1Event APEX 22.3Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 223, 6016, 1676
44
/ 100 compatProjected
72 pts
~1.3 RP (district)
Teams: 223, 6016, 1676
Auto
7.7 11%
Teleop
40.9 56%
Endgame
24.4 33%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 29%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 4361, 5992, 41
46
/ 100 compatProjected
74.1 pts
~1.3 RP (district)
Teams: 4361, 5992, 41
Auto
8.7 13%
Teleop
35.3 53%
Endgame
22.8 34%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 29%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.32 · Blue 1.34
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score72pts
Blue projected score74.1pts
Red win probability49%
Event bonus sample150alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 29%, blue 28%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -2
- Score range
- 52–94
- Upset likelihood
- 49%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
354.8Season APEX184.2
7.7Auto8.7
40.9Teleop35.3
24.4Endgame22.8
28Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 15 | 0 |
| teleop | 38 | 13 |
| endgame | 41 | 22 |
| foul | 0 | 10 |
| total | 94 | 45 |
Result
Final score
94 – 45
Prediction missed · off by 25.5 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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