Qualification · Qualification 52

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

150.17 – 176.53

42%58%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

59 – 227

Prediction correct · off by 70.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 373.9 ±11.2

5895Peddie Robotics

Season APEX 264.5Event APEX 146.45Rank 3Record 9-2-1Status establishedConfidence 100

8707The Newark Circuit Breakers

Season APEX 32.3Event APEX -10.67Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1672Robo T-Birds

Season APEX 77.1Event APEX 14.39Rank 18Record 5-6-1Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 414.1 ±11.7

8513Sisters 1st

A+

Season APEX 304.2Event APEX 123.83Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

430MORT GAMMA

Season APEX 33.3Event APEX 9.15Rank 24Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

219Team Impact

Season APEX 76.6Event APEX 43.55Rank 16Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5895, 8707, 1672

/ 100 compat

Projected

150.2 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 5895, 8707, 1672

Auto

34.6 23%

Teleop

85.2 58%

Endgame

28.3 19%

Strengths

· 5895 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 38%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8513, 430, 219

/ 100 compat

Projected

176.5 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 8513, 430, 219

Auto

39.5 24%

Teleop

101.6 61%

Endgame

25.8 15%

Strengths

· 8513 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 38%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.26 · Blue 1.61

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score150.2pts

Blue projected score176.5pts

Red win probability42%

Event bonus sample150alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 38%, blue 40%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -26.4
Score range: 130–197
Upset likelihood: 42%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 286 vs event baseline 109.8.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

373.9Season APEX414.1

34.6Auto39.5

85.2Teleop101.6

28.3Endgame25.8

7Consistency3

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	31	77
teleop	28	103
endgame	0	42
foul	0	5
total	59	227

Result

Final score

59 – 227

Prediction correct · off by 70.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree