Qualification · Qualification 50

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

208.76 – 79.23

83%17%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

244 – 38

Prediction correct · off by 38.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 408.1 ±11.1

4361Roxbotix

Season APEX 41.5Event APEX 4.48Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9116The Canucks & Bolts

Season APEX 37.3Event APEX 14.9Rank 23Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

316LUNATECS

A+

Season APEX 329.3Event APEX 189.38Rank 2Record 11-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 244.8 ±11.6

6016Tiger Robotics

Season APEX 34.4Event APEX 5.7Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5992Pirates

Season APEX 59.6Event APEX 47.56Rank 17Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4285Camo-Bots

Season APEX 150.8Event APEX 25.97Rank 13Record 5-6-1Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4361, 9116, 316

/ 100 compat

Projected

208.8 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 4361, 9116, 316

Auto

16.8 8%

Teleop

130.8 64%

Endgame

57.5 28%

Strengths

· 316 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 40%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6016, 5992, 4285

/ 100 compat

Projected

79.2 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 6016, 5992, 4285

Auto

21.2 26%

Teleop

48.8 59%

Endgame

13.0 16%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 40%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.11 · Blue 0.68

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score208.8pts

Blue projected score79.2pts

Red win probability83%

Event bonus sample150alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 40%, blue 30%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 129.5
Score range: 59–229
Upset likelihood: 17%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 282 vs event baseline 109.3.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

408.1Season APEX244.8

16.8Auto21.2

130.8Teleop48.8

57.5Endgame13

31Consistency6

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	55	7
teleop	127	11
endgame	47	5
foul	15	15
total	244	38

Result

Final score

244 – 38

Prediction correct · off by 38.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.