Qualification · Qualification 47

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

186.17 – 86.67

78%22%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

237 – 109

Prediction correct · off by 36.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 401.1 ±10.5

8513Sisters 1st

A+

Season APEX 304.2Event APEX 120.05Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9015Questionable Engineering

Season APEX 59.4Event APEX 21.59Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3142Aperture

Season APEX 37.5Event APEX 44.53Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 333.5 ±11.2

8117Easton RoboRovers

Season APEX 75.5Event APEX 28.04Rank 28Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1676The Pascack PI-oneers

Season APEX 221.2Event APEX 58.18Rank 10Record 6-5-1Status establishedConfidence 100

8771PioTech

Season APEX 36.8Event APEX 0.45Rank 27Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8513, 9015, 3142

/ 100 compat

Projected

186.2 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 8513, 9015, 3142

Auto

41.6 24%

Teleop

110.9 63%

Endgame

23.5 13%

Strengths

· 8513 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 36%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8117, 1676, 8771

/ 100 compat

Projected

86.7 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 8117, 1676, 8771

Auto

14.5 17%

Teleop

50.6 58%

Endgame

21.4 25%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 36%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.96 · Blue 0.8

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score186.2pts

Blue projected score86.7pts

Red win probability78%

Event bonus sample150alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 36%, blue 31%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 99.5
Score range: 67–206
Upset likelihood: 22%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 346 vs event baseline 108.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

401.1Season APEX333.5

41.6Auto14.5

110.9Teleop50.6

23.5Endgame21.4

0Consistency29

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	63	16
teleop	118	62
endgame	56	31
foul	0	0
total	237	109

Result

Final score

237 – 109

Prediction correct · off by 36.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree