Qualification · Qualification 46

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

34.15 – 81.45

36%64%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

25 – 103

Prediction correct · off by 15.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 223.1 ±12.2

8707The Newark Circuit Breakers

Season APEX 32.3Event APEX -9.55Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8706MXS Bulldog Bots

Season APEX 157.7Event APEX 31.59Rank 22Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10995ACS Eagle Robotics

Season APEX 33.1Event APEX 12.11Rank 30Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 376.1 ±10.5

222Tigertrons

Season APEX 106.8Event APEX 18.29Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3637The Daleks

Season APEX 241.5Event APEX 60.95Rank 4Record 9-2-1Status establishedConfidence 100

6945Children of the Corn

Season APEX 27.8Event APEX 2.21Rank 25Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8707, 8706, 10995

/ 100 compat

Projected

34.2 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 8707, 8706, 10995

Auto

17.1 57%

Teleop

2.9 10%

Endgame

10.1 34%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 26%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 222, 3637, 6945

/ 100 compat

Projected

81.5 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 222, 3637, 6945

Auto

23.5 32%

Teleop

29.9 41%

Endgame

19.0 26%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 26%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.01 · Blue 1.66

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score34.2pts

Blue projected score81.5pts

Red win probability36%

Event bonus sample150alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 26%, blue 33%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -47.3
Score range: 14–101
Upset likelihood: 36%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 128 vs event baseline 109.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

223.1Season APEX376.1

17.1Auto23.5

2.9Teleop29.9

10.1Endgame19

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	12	16
teleop	7	65
endgame	6	17
foul	0	5
total	25	103

Result

Final score

25 – 103

Prediction correct · off by 15.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree