Qualification · Qualification 43
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
59.56 – 91.51
40%60%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
65 – 87
Prediction correct · off by 5 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 249.3 ±10.4
Season APEX 83.1Event APEX 18.76Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 59.4Event APEX 21.08Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 106.8Event APEX 19.72Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 373.2 ±11.2
Season APEX 75.5Event APEX 29.56Rank 28Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 265.4Event APEX 69.51Rank 9Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 32.3Event APEX -7.56Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 41, 9015, 222
40
/ 100 compatProjected
59.6 pts
~1.1 RP (district)
Teams: 41, 9015, 222
Auto
12.6 23%
Teleop
34.9 63%
Endgame
8.3 15%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 24%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 8117, 11, 8707
51
/ 100 compatProjected
91.5 pts
~1.6 RP (district)
Teams: 8117, 11, 8707
Auto
11.3 12%
Teleop
56.5 61%
Endgame
24.7 27%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 24%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.09 · Blue 1.57
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score59.6pts
Blue projected score91.5pts
Red win probability40%
Event bonus sample150alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 24%, blue 33%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -31.9
- Score range
- 40–112
- Upset likelihood
- 40%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
249.3Season APEX373.2
12.6Auto11.3
34.9Teleop56.5
8.3Endgame24.7
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 18 | 10 |
| teleop | 32 | 34 |
| endgame | 5 | 38 |
| foul | 10 | 5 |
| total | 65 | 87 |
Result
Final score
65 – 87
Prediction correct · off by 5 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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