Qualification · Qualification 42

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

113.74 – 211.35

23%77%

Actual result

Winner

Tie

Final score

189 – 189

Prediction missed · off by 48.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 539.8 ±9.3

1672Robo T-Birds

Season APEX 77.1Event APEX 9.6Rank 18Record 5-6-1Status establishedConfidence 100

3637The Daleks

Season APEX 241.5Event APEX 53.36Rank 4Record 9-2-1Status establishedConfidence 100

1676The Pascack PI-oneers

Season APEX 221.2Event APEX 50.78Rank 10Record 6-5-1Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 533.8 ±9.8

4285Camo-Bots

Season APEX 150.8Event APEX 31.44Rank 13Record 5-6-1Status establishedConfidence 100

555Montclair Robotics

Season APEX 118.5Event APEX 23.82Rank 21Record 4-7-1Status establishedConfidence 100

5895Peddie Robotics

Season APEX 264.5Event APEX 156.09Rank 3Record 9-2-1Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1672, 3637, 1676

/ 100 compat

Projected

113.7 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 1672, 3637, 1676

Auto

28.6 25%

Teleop

53.6 47%

Endgame

30.8 27%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 35%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4285, 555, 5895

/ 100 compat

Projected

211.4 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 4285, 555, 5895

Auto

42.8 21%

Teleop

135.7 65%

Endgame

30.2 14%

Strengths

· 5895 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 35%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.85 · Blue 1.99

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score113.7pts

Blue projected score211.4pts

Red win probability23%

Event bonus sample150alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 35%, blue 40%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -97.6
Score range: 94–231
Upset likelihood: 23%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Close match

High scoring

Combined score 378 vs event baseline 111.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

539.8Season APEX533.8

28.6Auto42.8

53.6Teleop135.7

30.8Endgame30.2

32Consistency26

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	29	35
teleop	108	107
endgame	52	42
foul	0	5
total	189	189

Result

Final score

189 – 189

Prediction missed · off by 48.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree