Qualification · Qualification 38
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
20.36 – 61.74
37%63%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
31 – 43
Prediction correct · off by 14.7 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 108.5 ±12.7
Season APEX 34.4Event APEX 4.19Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 36.8Event APEX -1.06Rank 27Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 37.3Event APEX 17.23Rank 23Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 186.4 ±11
Season APEX 83.1Event APEX 23.67Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 27.8Event APEX 5.11Rank 25Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 75.5Event APEX 32.96Rank 28Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 6016, 8771, 9116
17
/ 100 compatProjected
20.4 pts
~1.1 RP (district)
Teams: 6016, 8771, 9116
Auto
-1.4 0%
Teleop
14.1 67%
Endgame
8.3 40%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 28%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 41, 6945, 8117
40
/ 100 compatProjected
61.7 pts
~1.6 RP (district)
Teams: 41, 6945, 8117
Auto
15.9 29%
Teleop
33.4 61%
Endgame
5.7 10%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 28%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.07 · Blue 1.55
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score20.4pts
Blue projected score61.7pts
Red win probability37%
Event bonus sample150alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 28%, blue 25%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -41.4
- Score range
- 0–82
- Upset likelihood
- 37%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
108.5Season APEX186.4
-1.4Auto15.9
14.1Teleop33.4
8.3Endgame5.7
21Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 13 | 9 |
| teleop | 15 | 13 |
| endgame | 3 | 21 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 31 | 43 |
Result
Final score
31 – 43
Prediction correct · off by 14.7 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
Watch right here, no need to leave the page.