Qualification · Qualification 37

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

262.13 – 7.62

96%4%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

212 – 59

Prediction correct · off by 50.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 586.9 ±9.8

222Tigertrons

Season APEX 106.8Event APEX 27.29Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4285Camo-Bots

Season APEX 150.8Event APEX 39.69Rank 13Record 5-6-1Status establishedConfidence 100

316LUNATECS

A+

Season APEX 329.3Event APEX 195.15Rank 2Record 11-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 209.4 ±11

10995ACS Eagle Robotics

Season APEX 33.1Event APEX 2.52Rank 30Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1672Robo T-Birds

Season APEX 77.1Event APEX 2.48Rank 18Record 5-6-1Status establishedConfidence 100

223Xtreme Heat

Season APEX 99.2Event APEX 2.62Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 222, 4285, 316

/ 100 compat

Projected

262.1 pts

~2.4 RP (district)

Teams: 222, 4285, 316

Auto

26.9 10%

Teleop

165.1 64%

Endgame

67.1 26%

Strengths

· 316 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 42%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10995, 1672, 223

/ 100 compat

Projected

7.6 pts

~0.4 RP (district)

Teams: 10995, 1672, 223

Auto

21.9 100%

Teleop

-10.0 0%

Endgame

-4.6 0%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 42%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.38 · Blue 0.37

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score262.1pts

Blue projected score7.6pts

Red win probability96%

Event bonus sample150alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 42%, blue 25%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 254.5
Score range: -12–282
Upset likelihood: 4%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 271 vs event baseline 108.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

586.9Season APEX209.4

26.9Auto21.9

165.1Teleop-10

67.1Endgame-4.6

36Consistency109

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	53	24
teleop	127	17
endgame	27	18
foul	5	0
total	212	59

Result

Final score

212 – 59

Prediction correct · off by 50.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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