Qualification · Qualification 36

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

217.74 – 102.3

81%19%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

276 – 78

Prediction correct · off by 41.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 629.2 ±9.9

5992Pirates

Season APEX 59.6Event APEX 39.13Rank 17Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8513Sisters 1st

A+

Season APEX 304.2Event APEX 119.92Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11MORT

Season APEX 265.4Event APEX 58.69Rank 9Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 244.4 ±11

8706MXS Bulldog Bots

Season APEX 157.7Event APEX 37.65Rank 22Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3142Aperture

Season APEX 37.5Event APEX 45.98Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1279Cold Fusion

Season APEX 49.2Event APEX 18.67Rank 26Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5992, 8513, 11

/ 100 compat

Projected

217.7 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 5992, 8513, 11

Auto

38.6 18%

Teleop

127.0 59%

Endgame

49.6 23%

Strengths

· 8513 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 44%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8706, 3142, 1279

/ 100 compat

Projected

102.3 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 8706, 3142, 1279

Auto

6.8 7%

Teleop

54.9 55%

Endgame

37.8 38%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 44%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.11 · Blue 0.74

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score217.7pts

Blue projected score102.3pts

Red win probability81%

Event bonus sample150alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 44%, blue 32%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 115.4
Score range: 83–237
Upset likelihood: 19%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 354 vs event baseline 106.8.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

629.2Season APEX244.4

38.6Auto6.8

127Teleop54.9

49.6Endgame37.8

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	75	14
teleop	171	34
endgame	30	30
foul	0	0
total	276	78

Result

Final score

276 – 78

Prediction correct · off by 41.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.