Qualification · Qualification 34

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

247.92 – 0

97%3%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

321 – 17

Prediction correct · off by 45 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 627.1 ±9.9

316LUNATECS

A+

Season APEX 329.3Event APEX 186.83Rank 2Record 11-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

219Team Impact

Season APEX 76.6Event APEX 26.46Rank 16Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1676The Pascack PI-oneers

Season APEX 221.2Event APEX 34.63Rank 10Record 6-5-1Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 93.6 ±13.3

8707The Newark Circuit Breakers

Season APEX 32.3Event APEX -11.67Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6016Tiger Robotics

Season APEX 34.4Event APEX -1Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

752Chargers

Season APEX 26.9Event APEX -14.26Rank 29Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 316, 219, 1676

/ 100 compat

Projected

247.9 pts

~2.4 RP (district)

Teams: 316, 219, 1676

Auto

32.4 14%

Teleop

150.9 64%

Endgame

53.8 23%

Strengths

· 316 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 44%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8707, 6016, 752

/ 100 compat

Projected

-26.9 pts

~0.4 RP (district)

Teams: 8707, 6016, 752

Auto

-7.1 30%

Teleop

-13.6 57%

Endgame

-3.0 13%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 44%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.41 · Blue 0.37

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score247.9pts

Blue projected score-26.9pts

Red win probability97%

Event bonus sample150alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 44%, blue 26%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 247.9
Score range: -19–267
Upset likelihood: 3%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 338 vs event baseline 106.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

627.1Season APEX93.6

32.4Auto-7.1

150.9Teleop-13.6

53.8Endgame-3

17Consistency1

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	45	12
teleop	203	0
endgame	73	5
foul	0	0
total	321	17

Result

Final score

321 – 17

Prediction correct · off by 45 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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